Bitcoin BTC has been holding its yearly gains but is finding it difficult to break above its 17-month highs of $44,700 set earlier this month. This suggests that market participants are not loading up aggressively prior to the decision on the spot Bitcoin exchange‑traded fund (ETFs) applications, anticipated in January.
It is difficult to predict how traders will respond if one or more spot Bitcoin ETFs are approved. A lack of solid demand for the ETFs after approval could turn it into a “sell the news” event, while a strong inflow into the ETFs in the first few days could result in a spike in Bitcoin’s price.
The uncertainty about Bitcoin’s short‑term price action has boosted buying interest in altcoins. That is one of the reasons for the drop in Bitcoin’s dominance from about 55% to 51% in the past few days.
Will Bitcoin resume its uptrend or succumb to profit booking? Could altcoins continue their outperformance? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin fell below the 20‑day exponential moving average (EMA) ($42,597) on Dec. 29 but continues to trade inside the ascending triangle pattern.
The relative strength index (RSI) has dropped near the midpoint, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. Buyers will have to push the price above $44,700 to complete the triangle and regain control. The BTC/USDT pair could then rise to the pattern target of $49,178.
Contrary to this assumption, a break below the triangle will invalidate the bullish setup. That could accelerate selling and sink the pair to the 50‑day simple moving average (SMA) ($40,295). The bulls will try to stop the decline at this level, but if they fail, the next support level will likely be $37,980.
Ether price analysis
Ether ETH closed above the descending triangle pattern on Dec. 27 and tried to start the next leg of the uptrend on Dec. 28.
However, the bears were in no mood to give up. They sold at $2,445 and pulled the price back below $2,403. The price dropped to the breakout level from the channel where buyers stepped in. This indicates that the bulls are trying to flip the level into support.
If they do that, the ETH/USDT pair will try to resume the uptrend. The target objective on the upside is $3,000.
Meanwhile, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to yank the price below the 20‑day EMA ($2,269) and start a decline to the channel’s support line near $2,000.
BNB price analysis
BNB BNB nudged above its pattern target of $333 on Dec. 28 but could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests profit‑taking by traders.
Now, the BNB/USDT pair could pull back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $300, which will likely act as a strong support. If the price rebounds off $300, the bulls will again try to push the price toward the formidable hurdle at $350.
On the other hand, if the $300 support cracks, the correction may extend to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $291 and then to the neckline. The bulls are expected to protect the neckline with vigor.
Solana price analysis
Solana’s SOL SOL turned up from the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $96 on Dec. 29, indicating that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips.
Both moving averages are sloping up, and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that bulls have the edge. The SOL/USDT pair could rise to the recent high of $126, where the bulls are likely to face strong selling by the bears. If bulls overcome this barrier, the pair may jump to $156.
The bears will have to sink the price below the 20‑day EMA ($92) to signal a potential trend change in the near term. The pair could then tumble to the 50‑day SMA ($71).
XRP price analysis
XRP XRP attempted a rally on Dec. 28, but the bulls could not clear the hurdle at the downtrend line.
The price has been trading near the moving averages for the past few days, indicating indecision between the bulls and the bears. The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest that the XRP/USDT pair may stay inside the $0.56–$0.67 range for some more time.
Buyers will have to drive the price above $0.67 to seize control. The pair could then rise to $156.
XRP price analysis
XRP XRP attempted a rally on Dec. 28, but the bulls could not clear the hurdle at the downtrend line.
The price has been trading near the moving averages for the past few days, indicating indecision between the bulls and the bears. The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest that the XRP/USDT pair may stay inside the $0.56–$0.67 range for some more time.
Buyers will have to drive the price above $0.67 to seize control. The pair could then rise to $156.
BNB price analysis
BNB BNB nudged above its pattern target of $333 on Dec. 28 but could not sustain the higher levels. This suggests profit‑taking by traders.
Now, the BNB/USDT pair could pull back to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $300, which will likely act as a strong support. If the price rebounds off $300, the bulls will again try to push the price toward $350.
On the other hand, if the $300 support cracks, the correction may extend to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $291 and then to the neckline. The bulls are expected to protect the neckline with vigor.
Solution
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.